week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Chase Dollander
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.83); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 71WHIP 1.26ERA 3.73W 3–7SV 0
Dollander is a hold — near league avg, nothing unstable.
ROS projects K 47 YTD → 71 ROS, ERA 3.89 YTD → 3.73 ROS, WHIP 1.30 YTD → 1.26 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %24.9%—+4.4% ▲vs his ~20.5% career norm
- Walk %9.5%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~10.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.83)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed52.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+12.1%vs his norm —
121 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
121 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
189 / 200 TBF
xERA3.83
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.27vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
189 / 200 TBF
ERA3.89
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.21vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
44 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm +4.4% ▲
189 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
189 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.289
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
121 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.9%→22.6%signal71 K — K% 24.9% (signal) tempered to career ~20.5% → projected 22.6% over ~73 remaining…
xERA 3.83noise3.73 ERA — xERA 3.83 (noise) blended 22% skill / 78% league 3.70 at 44 IP.
BB% 9.5% + contactsignal1.26 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.35 skill WHIP, blended 2…
run support + role3-7 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.73 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.