week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Cole Wilcox
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.51); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Wilcox is a hold — near league average, no luck driving it
ROS projects K 15 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.51)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed46.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.1%vs his norm —
76 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
76 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.355
lg avg .315 ▲+.040vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
123 / 200 TBF
xERA5.51
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.41vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
123 / 200 TBF
ERA4.00
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.10vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
27 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
123 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.8%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
123 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.338
lg avg .295 ▲+.043vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
76 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
123 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
123 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.6 mphvs his norm —
488 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.8%→23.0%signal0 K — K% 22.8% (signal) held to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 23.0% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 5.51noise3.70 ERA — xERA 5.51 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 13 IP.
BB% 13.8% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 14% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.60 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.