week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Dennis Santana
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.93); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 17WHIP 1.25ERA 3.75W 1–2SV 1–2
Santana is a hold — league-average profile, no edge to act on.
ROS projects K 19 YTD → 17 ROS, WHIP 1.48 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %11.7%—+1.9% ▲vs his ~9.8% career norm
- Strikeout %20.6%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~21.7% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.93)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.0%
lg avg 40.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
120 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
120 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.341
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
180 / 200 TBF
xERA4.93
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.83vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
180 / 200 TBF
ERA5.80
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.70vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
40.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
180 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm +1.9% ▲
180 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.277
lg avg .295 ▼−.018vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
120 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
180 / 60 TBF
Chase %34.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.1%vs his norm —
180 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —
687 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.6%→21.2%signal17 K — K% 20.6% (signal) lifted to career ~21.7% → projected 21.2% over ~21 remaining IP.
xERA 4.93noise3.75 ERA — xERA 4.93 (noise) blended 4% skill / 96% league 3.70 at 24 IP.
BB% 11.7% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.52 skill WHIP, blended 4…
run support + role1-2 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)1-2 SV — role: closer.
rosterdeep4 SV, 3.75 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.