MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Drey Jameson

AZ·P
data as of July 23, 2026·week 18
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.37); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 18ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0

Jameson is a hold — limited data, no edge yet.

ROS projects K 1 YTD → 18 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Strikeout %17.1%−4.1%vs his ~21.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.37)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed28.3%
28.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −11.7%vs his norm —
53 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.7%
5.7%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.3%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is below the ~8.0% league averageexpect it to rise.
53 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.322
.322*
lg avg .315 +.007vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league averageexpect it to fall.
76 / 200 TBF
xERA4.37
4.37*
lg avg 4.10 +0.27vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league averageexpect it to fall.
76 / 200 TBF
ERA4.67
4.67*
lg avg 4.10 +0.57vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league averageexpect it to fall.
17.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %17.1%
norm17.1%*
lg avg 22.0% −4.9%vs his norm −4.1%
76 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.8%
norm11.8%*
lg avg 8.0% +3.8%vs his norm +1.5% Walk % is above his ~10.3% normexpect it to fall.
76 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.288
.288*
lg avg .295 −.007vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league averageexpect it to rise.
53 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.5%
13.5%*
lg avg 11.0% +2.5%vs his norm —
76 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.4%
29.4%*
lg avg 28.5% +0.9%vs his norm —
76 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.5 mph
96.5 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph +2.5 mphvs his norm —
266 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 17.1%→20.1%signal18 K — K% 17.1% (signal) lifted to career ~21.2% → projected 20.1% over ~15 remaining IP.
xERA 4.37noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.37 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 1 IP.
BB% 11.8% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.60 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups