week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Foster Griffin
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from SELL-HIGH on October 26, 2026
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (4.35); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 4.26WHIP 1.26W 0–0SV 0
Griffin is a hold — league-average skill, no noise to exploit
ROS projects K 65 YTD → 0 ROS, ERA 3.76 YTD → 4.26 ROS, WHIP 1.15 YTD → 1.26 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %6.2%—−2.0% ▼vs his ~8.2% career norm
- Strikeout %21.9%—−0.1% ▼vs his ~22.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.35)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —
508 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
508 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.320
lg avg .315 ▲+.005vs his norm —
721 / 200 TBF
xERA4.35
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.25vs his norm —
721 / 200 TBF
ERA3.60
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.50vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
172.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm −0.1% ▼
721 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.8%vs his norm −2.0% ▼
721 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.292
lg avg .295 ▼−.003vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
508 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —
721 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
721 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.5 mphvs his norm —
2833 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.9%→21.9%signal0 K — K% 21.9% (signal) held to career ~22.0% → projected 21.9% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.35signal4.26 ERA — xERA 4.35 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 67 IP.
BB% 6.2% + contactsignal1.26 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.293 gives a 1.26 skill WHIP.
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.26 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.