146 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.315); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .262R 5RBI 4SB 2
Kiner-Falefa is a hold — no signal to buy or sell
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .311 YTD → .262 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %2.7%—+0.5% ▲vs his ~2.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.315)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo82.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−6.4 mphvs his norm —
113 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %26.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−13.5%vs his norm —
113 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.3%vs his norm +0.5% ▲
113 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.315
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
146 / 160 PA
wOBA.322
lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
146 / 200 PA
Strikeout %12.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.7%vs his norm —
146 / 60 PA
Walk %10.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
146 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.002 ▲BABIP is above his ~.307 norm — expect it to fall.
113 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
146 / 50 PA
Chase %32.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
146 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.7%→2.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.7% (signal) tempered to career ~2.2% → projected 2.4%.
BABIP 0.309→0.314 regressednoise.262 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.315 (xBA 0.275) → 0.314.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~32 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~32 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (4 in 33 G) over ~32 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.