MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Jackson Kent

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.44); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.30ERA 4.10W 0–0SV 0

Kent is a hold — average stuff, and the sample says nothing more.

ROS projects K 6 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 2.00 YTD → 1.30 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

Drivers

  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.44)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.0%
40.0%*
lg avg 40.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
115 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.1%
6.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
115 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.353
.353*
lg avg .315 ▲+.038vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
170 / 200 TBF
xERA5.44
5.44*
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.34vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
170 / 200 TBF
ERA5.95
5.95*
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.85vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
36.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %17.6%
17.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm —
170 / 70 TBF
Walk %14.7%
14.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
170 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.336
.336*
lg avg .295 ▲+.041vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
115 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
10.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
170 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.2%
32.2%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
170 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.1 mph
93.1 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.9 mphvs his norm —
677 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 17.6%→18.5%signal0 K — K% 17.6% (signal) lifted to SP mean ~22.0% → projected 18.5% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 5.44noise4.10 ERA — xERA 5.44 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 4 IP.
BB% 14.7% + contactsignal1.30 WHIP — a 15% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.301 gives a 1.77 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.10 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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