98 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jacob Gonzalez
data as of July 19, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.306); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .165R 0RBI 0SB 0
Gonzalez is a hold — league average across the board.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .143 YTD → .165 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.306)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.8 mphvs his norm —
66 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
66 / 50 BBE
Barrel %1.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.5%vs his norm —
66 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 160 PA
wOBA.304
lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
98 / 60 PA
Walk %8.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 120 PA
BABIP.302
lg avg .295 ▲+.007vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
66 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
98 / 50 PA
Chase %33.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
98 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 1.5%→2.8%signal1 HR — Barrel% 1.5% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 2.8%.
BABIP 0.302→0.374 regressednoise.165 AVG — BABIP 0.302 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.243) → 0.374.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~133 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~133 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~133 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.