week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jacob Webb
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.07); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 25WHIP 1.24ERA 3.72W 0–1SV 0–2
Webb is a hold — league average, stable, nothing to buy or sell.
ROS projects K 31 YTD → 25 ROS, WHIP 1.34 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %27.1%—+3.5% ▲vs his ~23.6% career norm
- Walk %9.0%—−0.9% ▼vs his ~9.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.07)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed44.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
113 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.0%
lg avg 8.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
113 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
177 / 200 TBF
xERA4.07
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.03vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
177 / 200 TBF
ERA3.05
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.05vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
41.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm +3.5% ▲
177 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm −0.9% ▼
177 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.290
lg avg .295 ▼−.005vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
113 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.6%vs his norm —
177 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —
177 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —
736 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 27.1%→25.2%signal25 K — K% 27.1% (signal) tempered to career ~23.6% → projected 25.2% over ~21 remaining…
xERA 4.07noise3.72 ERA — xERA 4.07 (noise) blended 4% skill / 96% league 3.70 at 25 IP.
BB% 9.0% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.29 skill WHIP, blended 4%…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-2 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.72 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.