152 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jahmai Jones
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 31% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.340); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .229R 2RBI 3SB 0
Jones is a hold — good contact, but the strikeouts cap the ceiling.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .155 YTD → .229 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.5%—−2.9% ▼vs his ~13.4% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.340)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.6 mphvs his norm —
86 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
86 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm −2.9% ▼
86 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.340
lg avg .315 ▲+.025vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
152 / 160 PA
wOBA.315
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
152 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.9%vs his norm —
152 / 60 PA
Walk %9.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
152 / 120 PA
BABIP.296
lg avg .295 ▲+.001vs his norm −.046 ▼BABIP is below his ~.342 norm — expect it to rise.
86 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.0%vs his norm —
152 / 50 PA
Chase %28.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
152 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.5%→12.5%signal1 HR — Barrel% 10.5% (signal) lifted to career ~13.4% → projected 12.5%.
BABIP 0.296→0.319 regressednoise.229 AVG — BABIP 0.296 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.322 (xBA 0.243) → 0.319.
on-base + lineup2 R — his run rate over ~30 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~30 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 42 G) over ~30 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.