200 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Jake Bauers
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Bauers is a buy — elite contact, production earned.
His hard-hit rate is 52.7% — 12.7 points above league — and it has been stepping up across the sample. That contact quality is already reliable at 131 batted balls. His expected wOBA is .352, .037 above league average, and the 200 PA sample clears the stabilization threshold. His actual wOBA tracks right with it, so there is no luck inflating the line. His strikeout rate is roughly league average, so the contact quality is not offset by whiff risk. The skill is real and the numbers are consistent. Buy.
Buy
med0.67
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.352, +0.037 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.0 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL131 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %52.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+12.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL131 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL131 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.352
lg avg .315 ▲+.037trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL200 / 160 PA
wOBA.368
lg avg .315 ▲+.053trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL200 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL200 / 60 PA
Walk %10.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL200 / 120 PA
BABIP.328
lg avg .295 ▲+.033too early to trust
NOISE131 / 800 BIP