Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryJake
18HR ←16
53R53
53RBI →57
6SB →7
.270AVG ←.258
Current Season
BryceCategoryJake
13HR ←9
34R ←31
34RBI ←33
4SB4
.261AVG →.277
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.268 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jake Bauers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.355, +0.040 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Bryce Harper: 18 HR / 53 R. Jake Bauers: 16 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).