174 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Jeremiah Jackson
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Jackson is a sell — skill below league, no bad luck.
His expected wOBA is .295, twenty points below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. More concerning, his xwOBA has been trending down across the season. His actual wOBA tracks close to his expected, so there is no unlucky BABIP story pulling the line down. His contact quality is essentially league average — 89.4 mph exit velocity, 40.3% hard-hit rate, 8.2% barrel rate — but that is not enough to lift his production. His walk rate is 2.3%, well below league average, limiting on-base opportunities. There is no underlying skill about to break out. The level he is at now is the level. Sell.
Sell
med0.59
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL134 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL134 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL134 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.295
lg avg .315 ▼−.020trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL174 / 160 PA
wOBA.288
lg avg .315 ▼−.027too early to trust
NOISE174 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL174 / 60 PA
Walk %2.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−6.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL174 / 120 PA
BABIP.273
lg avg .295 ▼−.022too early to trust
NOISE134 / 800 BIP