Is Jeremiah Jackson a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Jeremiah Jackson's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .282 says the bat isn't real either

293 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Jeremiah Jackson

BAL·2B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Sell stable xwOBA 0.282 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.62

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Jackson is a sell — the skill sits below league and the trend is down

His expected wOBA is .282, which is .033 below the league average of .315, and his 293 plate appearances are past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .264, lower still, so there is no bad-luck story lifting the line back toward average. His contact quality is ordinary at best: an 89.2 mph average exit velocity against a league average of 89.0, a 37.7% hard-hit rate a couple ticks under league, and a barrel rate dead on the league mark. The approach backs the same read — he swings through 15.7% of pitches against a league average of 11.0, chases 36.8% of them, and walks just 3.4% of the time, so he is not creating his own breaks. The expected wOBA has been stepping down, not stabilizing upward. Nothing here is being hidden by luck. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / .000 AVG line makes him a drop, streaming-only counting with no skill floor to hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %8.0%—+0.5% ▲vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.282 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —

212 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %37.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —

212 / 50 BBE

Barrel %8.0%

lg avg 8.0% 0.0%vs his norm +0.5% ▲

212 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.282

lg avg .315 ▼−.033vs his norm —

293 / 160 PA

wOBA.264

lg avg .315 ▼−.051vs his norm —

293 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.5%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —

293 / 60 PA

Walk %3.4%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.1%vs his norm —

293 / 120 PA

BABIP.249

lg avg .295 ▼−.046vs his norm −.116 ▼BABIP is below his ~.365 norm — expect it to rise.

212 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %15.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —

293 / 50 PA

Chase %36.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+8.3%vs his norm —

293 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 8.0%→7.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 8.0% (signal) tempered to career ~7.5% → projected 7.8%.

BABIP 0.249→0.259 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.249 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.262 (xBA 0.236) → 0.259.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 52 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons