Is Jeremiah Jackson a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Jeremiah Jackson's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .286 with exit velo barely league — empty power.

248 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Jeremiah Jackson

BAL·2B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Sell stable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.61

ROSHR 1AVG .223R 4RBI 6SB 0

Jackson is a sell — the skill is below league and nothing is hiding it.

His expected wOBA is .286 on 248 plate appearances, 29 points below the league average of .315, and his sample is past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .266, lower still, so there is no suppressed BABIP dragging the line down — the outcomes match the skill. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, which is the wrong direction. He walks in only 3.2% of plate appearances against a league average of 8.5%, the lowest on this card by a wide margin, and his 38% chase rate is a big reason why. The strikeout rate is fine. Everything else says this is the level he is at, and the line is already telling the story. Sell. With 1 HR / 4 R / 6 RBI / 0 SB / .223 AVG, the sell is a drop — waiver-wire filler, streaming-only, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.5%—0.0%vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —

187 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %38.5%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —

187 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm 0.0%

187 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.286

lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —

248 / 160 PA

wOBA.266

lg avg .315 ▼−.049vs his norm —

248 / 200 PA

Strikeout %20.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —

248 / 60 PA

Walk %3.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.3%vs his norm —

248 / 120 PA

BABIP.257

lg avg .295 ▼−.038vs his norm −.108 ▼BABIP is below his ~.365 norm — expect it to rise.

187 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %16.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —

248 / 50 PA

Chase %38.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.5%vs his norm —

248 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.5%→7.5%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.5% (signal) held to career ~7.5% → projected 7.5%.

BABIP 0.257→0.269 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.257 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.273 (xBA 0.244) → 0.269.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~38 projected PA.

slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~38 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 52 G) over ~38 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons