week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Jimmy Herget
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.37); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 33ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 1–4
Herget is a hold — league average, limited data.
ROS projects K 17 YTD → 33 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %24.3%—+1.6% ▲vs his ~22.7% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.37)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed45.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.8%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % Allowed is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
48 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed12.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
48 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.327
lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
70 / 200 TBF
xERA4.37
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.27vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
70 / 200 TBF
ERA5.06
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.96vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
16 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm +1.6% ▲
70 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm −1.6% ▼Walk % is below his ~7.3% norm — expect it to rise.
70 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.356
lg avg .295 ▲+.061vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
48 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.3%→23.1%signal33 K — K% 24.3% (signal) tempered to career ~22.7% → projected 23.1% over ~32 remaining…
xERA 4.37noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.37 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 16 IP.
BB% 5.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.22 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)1-4 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.