Is Joey Cantillo a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Joey Cantillo's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Joey Cantillo

CLE·P

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · steady skill near league average (4.20); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSK 11ERA 4.17WHIP 1.46W 1–1SV 0

Cantillo is a hold — nothing here is drifting either way.

His expected ERA is 4.20, a hair above the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. His expected wOBA allowed is .316 against a league average of .315, the same story from a different angle: league average, and stable. The contact he allows matches the league almost exactly — a 39.7% hard-hit rate versus 40.0%, and an 8.0% barrel rate versus 8.0%. His strikeout rate is 24.3%, slightly above league, but he walks 12.1% of batters against a league average of 8.0%, and that gap cancels the strikeouts out. The one thing moving is his expected ERA, which has stepped up across the sample. It has climbed to average, not past it. Hold. 11 K and a 4.17 ERA aren't worth a roster spot — a deep-league streamer at best, waivers the honest drop.

VS His Norm

Walk %12.1%—+1.2% ▲vs his ~10.9% career norm
Strikeout %24.3%—−0.9% ▼vs his ~25.2% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.20)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed39.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —

398 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed8.0%

lg avg 8.0% 0.0%vs his norm —

398 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.316

lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —

634 / 200 TBF

xERA4.20

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.10vs his norm —

634 / 200 TBF

ERA4.00

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.10vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.

144 / 200 IP

Strikeout %24.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm −0.9% ▼

634 / 70 TBF

Walk %12.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.1%vs his norm +1.2% ▲

634 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.325

lg avg .295 ▲+.030vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

398 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %13.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —

634 / 60 TBF

Chase %27.7%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

634 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo92.2 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.8 mphvs his norm —

2531 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 24.3%→24.5%signal11 K — K% 24.3% (signal) held to career ~25.2% → projected 24.5% over ~12 remaining IP.

xERA 4.20signal4.17 ERA — xERA 4.20 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 58 IP.

BB% 12.1% + contactsignal1.46 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.310 gives a 1.54 skill WHIP, blended 6…

run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdrop11 K ROS, 4.17 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons