week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
JoJo Romero
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 15-DAY IL
flipped from SELL-HIGH
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.80); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 21WHIP 1.25ERA 3.77W 0–0SV 0
Romero is a hold — league average, nothing driving a move.
ROS projects K 25 YTD → 21 ROS, WHIP 1.16 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.1%—+0.3% ▲vs his ~22.8% career norm
- Walk %8.6%—−0.3% ▼vs his ~8.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.80)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed43.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
123 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
123 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.337
lg avg .315 ▲+.022vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
186 / 200 TBF
xERA4.80
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.70vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
186 / 200 TBF
ERA3.35
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.75vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
43 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm +0.3% ▲
186 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm −0.3% ▼
186 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.302
lg avg .295 ▲+.007vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
123 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
186 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
186 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.5 mphvs his norm —
721 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.1%→22.9%signal21 K — K% 23.1% (signal) tempered to career ~22.8% → projected 22.9% over ~22 remaining…
xERA 4.80noise3.77 ERA — xERA 4.80 (noise) blended 6% skill / 94% league 3.70 at 27 IP.
BB% 8.6% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.35 skill WHIP, blended 6%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.77 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.