week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jordan Romano
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.44); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 7ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 1–2
Romano is a hold — league average, with nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects K 14 YTD → 7 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %24.8%—−4.4% ▼vs his ~29.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.44)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.2%vs his norm —
78 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
78 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.288
lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
125 / 200 TBF
xERA3.44
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.66vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
125 / 200 TBF
ERA4.88
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.78vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
27.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm −4.4% ▼
125 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.0%vs his norm +2.6% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.4% norm — expect it to fall.
125 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.289
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
78 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
125 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
125 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.1 mphvs his norm —
531 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.8%→27.5%signal7 K — K% 24.8% (signal) lifted to career ~29.2% → projected 27.5% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 3.44noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.44 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 9 IP.
BB% 12.0% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.46 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)1-2 SV — role: closer.
rosterdeep6 SV, 3.70 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.