week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jordan Romano
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.63); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0–0
Romano is a hold — league average, nothing unstable either way
ROS projects K 14 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %25.5%—−3.7% ▼vs his ~29.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.63)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —
94 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
94 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
153 / 200 TBF
xERA3.63
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.47vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
153 / 200 TBF
ERA5.61
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.51vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
33.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm −3.7% ▼
153 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm +3.0% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.4% norm — expect it to fall.
153 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.278
lg avg .295 ▼−.017vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
94 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
153 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —
153 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.3 mphvs his norm —
643 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.5%→27.6%signal0 K — K% 25.5% (signal) lifted to career ~29.2% → projected 27.6% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.63noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.63 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 9 IP.
BB% 12.4% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.293 gives a 1.46 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)0-0 SV — role: closer.
rosterdeep4 SV, 3.70 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.