Is Josh Jung a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Josh Jung's rest-of-season outlook?

48% hard-hit and a 0.347 xwOBA that isn't luck

396 PA · week 25

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Josh Jung

TEX·3B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

ON THE 10-DAY IL

Buy stable xwOBA 0.347, +0.032 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.343 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.66

ROSHR 1AVG .279R 5RBI 5SB 0

Jung is a buy — the contact is earned, the average will give some back.

His hard-hit rate is 48.3%, eight points above league average, and it has been climbing across the sample. That is the number doing the most work here: contact quality stabilizes fast, and his has cleared the threshold with room to spare. His expected wOBA is .347, .032 above the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .353, tracking right with it, so his line is earned at the point of contact. The caveat is his BABIP: .343 against a league average of .295. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 286 — some of that average will give back. The skill underneath does not. Buy. A deep-league streamer only: the 1 HR / 5 R / 5 RBI ROS line is rotational counting, not a must-add.

VS His Norm

Barrel %6.3%—−3.7% ▼vs his ~10.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.347, +0.032 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
babipNOISEBABIP 0.343 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.6 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.6 mphvs his norm —

286 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %48.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.3%vs his norm —

286 / 50 BBE

Barrel %6.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm −3.7% ▼

286 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.347

lg avg .315 ▲+.032vs his norm —

396 / 160 PA

wOBA.353

lg avg .315 ▲+.038vs his norm —

396 / 200 PA

Strikeout %17.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —

396 / 60 PA

Walk %8.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —

396 / 120 PA

BABIP.343

lg avg .295 ▲+.048vs his norm +.017 ▲BABIP is above his ~.326 norm — expect it to fall.

286 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %8.5%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —

396 / 50 PA

Chase %28.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —

396 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 6.3%→7.8%signal1 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) lifted to career ~10.0% → projected 7.8%.

BABIP 0.343→0.322 regressednoise.279 AVG — BABIP 0.343 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.310 (xBA 0.286) → 0.322.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.

slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 55 G) over ~43 projected PA.

rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons