Is Josh Jung a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Josh Jung's rest-of-season outlook?

49% hard-hit with a .348 xwOBA — contact is the skill.

444 PA · week 31

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Josh Jung

TEX·3B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Buy stable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.346 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.67

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Jung is a buy — the contact is real, the batting average will cool.

His hard-hit rate sits at 49.2%, nine points above the league average of 40.0%, and it has stepped up across the sample rather than flattening out. That contact quality is past the point where it becomes reliable, so the batted-ball skill is not a small-sample accident. His expected wOBA of .348 is .033 above league, and his actual wOBA tracks slightly higher at .362 — the production is earned, not propped up. The one number that will give ground is his .346 BABIP, which is 51 points above league and needs around 800 balls in play to settle; he has 321. Some of the batting average is coming back. The power and the contact are not. This is a bat to buy before the surface line cools and the price follows.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.2%—−2.8% ▼vs his ~10.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
babipNOISEBABIP 0.346 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.7 mphvs his norm —

321 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %49.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+9.2%vs his norm —

321 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.2%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm −2.8% ▼

321 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.348

lg avg .315 ▲+.033vs his norm —

444 / 160 PA

wOBA.362

lg avg .315 ▲+.047vs his norm —

444 / 200 PA

Strikeout %18.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —

444 / 60 PA

Walk %7.9%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —

444 / 120 PA

BABIP.346

lg avg .295 ▲+.051vs his norm +.020 ▲BABIP is above his ~.326 norm — expect it to fall.

321 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %8.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —

444 / 50 PA

Chase %29.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

444 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.2%→8.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.2% (signal) lifted to career ~10.0% → projected 8.3%.

BABIP 0.346→0.324 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.346 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.309 (xBA 0.285) → 0.324.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 55 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons