
702 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
Junior Caminero
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.364, +0.049 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.70 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Caminero is a buy — elite contact and the sample backs it
Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %13.1%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~13.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.364, +0.049 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.7 mphvs his norm —
490 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %49.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+9.7%vs his norm —
490 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
490 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.364
lg avg .315 ▲+.049vs his norm —
702 / 160 PA
wOBA.375
lg avg .315 ▲+.060vs his norm —
702 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
702 / 60 PA
Walk %11.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
702 / 120 PA
BABIP.286
lg avg .295 ▼−.009vs his norm +.019 ▲BABIP is above his ~.267 norm — expect it to fall.
490 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
702 / 50 PA
Chase %30.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
702 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.1%→13.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 13.1% (signal) lifted to career ~13.5% → projected 13.2%.
BABIP 0.286→0.278 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.286 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.265 (xBA 0.273) → 0.278.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.