MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Engraved portrait of Konnor Griffin
331 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Konnor Griffin

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.309) — BABIP 0.347 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Griffin is a hold — average skill, average results, nothing hidden.

His expected wOBA is .309, six points under the league average of .315, and he has more than enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA sits at .313, right in the same neighborhood, so there is no gap between his line and his skill. His BABIP is .347, which looks high, but that number isn't reliable yet — he has 224 balls in play and BABIP needs around 800 before it means anything. The contact quality backs up the middling read: 87.9 mph average exit velocity, a 36.6% hard-hit rate, and a 6.3% barrel rate, all a touch below league. His expected wOBA has stepped down as the sample has grown, which is the shape of a player settling in around average. There is no buy signal and no sell signal. Hold.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.309)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.9 mph
87.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.1 mphvs his norm —
224 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.6%
36.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
224 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
6.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
224 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.309
.309*
lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —
331 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
believable since May 29.313*
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —
331 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.8%
24.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
331 / 60 PA
Walk %6.0%
6.0%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
331 / 120 PA
BABIP.347
.347*
lg avg .295 ▲+.052vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
224 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.2%
15.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
331 / 50 PA
Chase %37.6%
37.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.1%vs his norm —
331 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.347→0.333 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.347 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.328 (xBA 0.254) → 0.333.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (14 in 51 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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