MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Kyle Higashioka
186 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Kyle Higashioka

TEX·C
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 10-DAY IL
flipped from HOLD
Sell stable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59
ROSHR 1AVG .199R 4RBI 4SB 0

Higashioka is a sell — the bat plays below league.

His expected wOBA is .295, which is .020 below the league average of .315, and he has 186 plate appearances — past the 160 where that number becomes reliable. So this is not a small sample talking. His actual wOBA tracks close to that, meaning his stat line is telling the truth: no suppressed BABIP, no bounces waiting to break his way. The underlying contact is light, too — 88.2 mph average exit velocity and a 38.1% hard-hit rate both sit below league, and his xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample. He does pair a 10.2% walk rate with a 25.3% strikeout rate, so there is a plate-discipline floor, but discipline alone doesn't make a hitter. Nothing on this page says the bat is better than the line. Sell. A 1 HR / 4 R / 4 RBI / .199 AVG rest-of-season line is streaming-only waiver filler in all but deep two-catcher leagues. Drop.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %8.5%—−1.5% ▼vs his ~10.0% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.2 mph
88.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.8 mphvs his norm —
118 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.1%
38.1%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
118 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.5%
norm8.5%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm −1.5% ▼
118 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.295
.295*
lg avg .315 ▼−.020vs his norm —
186 / 160 PA
wOBA.303
.303*
lg avg .315 ▼−.012vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
186 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.3%
25.3%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
186 / 60 PA
Walk %10.2%
10.2%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
186 / 120 PA
BABIP.261
norm.261*
lg avg .295 ▼−.034vs his norm −.010 ▼BABIP is below his ~.271 norm — expect it to rise.
118 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.6%
11.6%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
186 / 50 PA
Chase %31.1%
31.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
186 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.5%→9.4%signal1 HR — Barrel% 8.5% (signal) lifted to career ~10.0% → projected 9.4%.
BABIP 0.261→0.273 regressednoise.199 AVG — BABIP 0.261 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.276 (xBA 0.219) → 0.273.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~36 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~36 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 29 G) over ~36 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups