138 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Lars Nootbaar
data as of July 22, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.357); BABIP 0.318 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .227R 34RBI 51SB 0
Nootbaar is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to drive a move.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .429 YTD → .227 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.2%—+0.5% ▲vs his ~9.7% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.357)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.5 mphvs his norm —
88 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %51.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+11.1%vs his norm —
88 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm +0.5% ▲
88 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.357
lg avg .315 ▲+.042vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
138 / 160 PA
wOBA.338
lg avg .315 ▲+.023vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
138 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
138 / 60 PA
Walk %14.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.0%vs his norm —
138 / 120 PA
BABIP.318
lg avg .295 ▲+.023vs his norm +.029 ▲BABIP is above his ~.289 norm — expect it to fall.
88 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm —
138 / 50 PA
Chase %16.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−12.3%vs his norm —
138 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.2%→9.8%signal3 HR — Barrel% 10.2% (signal) tempered to career ~9.7% → projected 9.8%.
BABIP 0.318→0.240 regressednoise.227 AVG — BABIP 0.318 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.256) → 0.240.
on-base + lineup34 R — his run rate over ~137 projected PA.
slugging + lineup51 RBI — his RBI rate over ~137 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~137 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.