MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYY · RF
Change to
Lars Nootbaar
STL · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Judge.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Aaron Judge wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Lars Nootbaar wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.1
Lars Nootbaar
92.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.3%
Lars Nootbaar
51.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
21.7%
Lars Nootbaar
10.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
25.8%
Lars Nootbaar
19.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
13.8%
Lars Nootbaar
7.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.415
Lars Nootbaar
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .248
.236
Lars Nootbaar
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .429
.230

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
523.40
now 17
11
Lars Nootbaar
523.40
now 1
5
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2059.40
now 43
40
Lars Nootbaar
2059.40
now 2
42
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2087
now 38
35
Lars Nootbaar
2087
now 3
63
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
.0007
now 5
5
Lars Nootbaar
.0007
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.80
Hold · wait & seeLars Nootbaar — hold.conf 0.50
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