Is Liam Hicks a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Liam Hicks's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

342 PA · week 17

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Liam Hicks

MIA·C

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.310); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSAVG .229HR 2R 24RBI 39SB 1

Hicks is a hold — league-average skill, no edge either way.

His expected wOBA is .310, within a hair of the league average of .315, and with 342 plate appearances that number is reliable. The catch is his actual wOBA is .357, 47 points higher, driven by a contact profile that does not support it: an average exit velocity of 85.4 mph is well below league, a 30.3% hard-hit rate against a 40.0% league average, and a 3.6% barrel rate that is half the average. His elite plate discipline — an 8.8% strikeout rate and 4.3% swinging-strike rate — keeps his batting average afloat, but the underlying power is absent. His expected wOBA has been stepping downward across the sample, not building toward anything better. There is no unstable stat inflating or deflating his line; this is a career-control type whose true skill is roughly league average on a good day. Hold. 2 HR / 24 R / 39 RBI / 1 SB / .229 AVG is a streaming-only line even in deep formats; hold only if you need batting average.

VS His Norm

Barrel %3.6%—+0.1% ▲vs his ~3.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo85.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.6 mphvs his norm —

274 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %30.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.7%vs his norm —

274 / 50 BBE

Barrel %3.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm +0.1% ▲

274 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.310

lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —

342 / 160 PA

wOBA.357

lg avg .315 ▲+.042vs his norm —

342 / 200 PA

Strikeout %8.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−13.2%vs his norm —

342 / 60 PA

Walk %9.6%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —

342 / 120 PA

BABIP.281

lg avg .295 ▼−.014vs his norm +.003 ▲BABIP is above his ~.278 norm — expect it to fall.

274 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %4.3%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−6.7%vs his norm —

342 / 50 PA

Chase %26.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —

342 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 3.6%→3.6%signal2 HR — Barrel% 3.6% (signal) tempered to career ~3.5% → projected 3.6%.

BABIP 0.281→0.247 regressednoise.229 AVG — BABIP 0.281 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.251) → 0.247.

on-base + lineup24 R — his run rate over ~187 projected PA.

slugging + lineup39 RBI — his RBI rate over ~187 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 58 G) over ~187 projected PA.

rosterdrop85 R/RBI

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons