MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Liam Hicks
554 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Liam Hicks

TB·C
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.319); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Hicks is a hold — average skill, loud contact gap

His expected wOBA is .319, four points over the league mark of .315, and 554 plate appearances is well past the point where that number is reliable. The contact underneath it is a different story: 84.6 mph off the bat, a 27.1% hard-hit rate, and 3.7% barrels, all well below league. What holds the line up is his strikeout rate — 9.9% against a league average of 22% — plus a walk rate above league and a swing-and-miss rate of 4.8%. He puts the ball in play and takes his walks, and the expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample. That is a real skill, just not a bat that will carry a fantasy lineup. Nothing unstable is driving it, and nothing here is worth buying or selling. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is a drop-tier tax — hold only as deep-league catcher depth, not a roster asset.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.7%—+0.2% ▲vs his ~3.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.319)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.6 mph
84.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.4 mphvs his norm —
432 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %27.1%
27.1%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−12.9%vs his norm —
432 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.7%
norm3.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm +0.2% ▲
432 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.319
.319*
lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —
554 / 160 PA
wOBA.352
believable since May 26.352*
lg avg .315 ▲+.037vs his norm —
554 / 200 PA
Strikeout %9.9%
9.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−12.1%vs his norm —
554 / 60 PA
Walk %10.1%
10.1%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
554 / 120 PA
BABIP.286
norm.286*
lg avg .295 ▼−.009vs his norm +.008 ▲BABIP is above his ~.278 norm — expect it to fall.
432 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %4.8%
4.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−6.3%vs his norm —
554 / 50 PA
Chase %26.6%
26.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
554 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.7%→3.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.7% (signal) tempered to career ~3.5% → projected 3.6%.
BABIP 0.286→0.263 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.286 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.236 (xBA 0.261) → 0.263.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 58 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups