week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Luis Gastelum
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.57); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Gastelum is a hold — average results, with swing-and-miss upside.
ROS projects K 1 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.57)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.1%vs his norm —
94 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
94 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.327
lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
152 / 200 TBF
xERA4.57
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.47vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
152 / 200 TBF
ERA4.42
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.32vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
36.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.9%vs his norm —
152 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
152 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.307
lg avg .295 ▲+.012vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
94 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.7%vs his norm —
152 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.2%vs his norm —
152 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —
599 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.9%→27.9%signal0 K — K% 28.9% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 27.9% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.57noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.57 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 2 IP.
BB% 7.9% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.22 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.