week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Luis Gastelum
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.95); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 2ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Luis Gastelum is a hold — little data, and nothing unstable either way.
ROS projects K 1 YTD → 2 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.95)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.7%vs his norm —
72 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed11.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
72 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.340
lg avg .315 ▲+.025vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
119 / 200 TBF
xERA4.95
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.85vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
119 / 200 TBF
ERA5.02
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.92vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
28.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %30.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.3%vs his norm —
119 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
119 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.303
lg avg .295 ▲+.008vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
72 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.0%vs his norm —
119 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
119 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
465 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 30.3%→29.0%signal2 K — K% 30.3% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 29.0% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 4.95noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.95 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 2 IP.
BB% 8.4% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.21 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.