116 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Luis Robert Jr.
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.326); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .229R 14RBI 11SB 3
Robert is a hold — league-average profile, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .224 YTD → .229 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %3.9%—−8.4% ▼vs his ~12.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.326)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
77 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
77 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm −8.4% ▼
77 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
116 / 160 PA
wOBA.307
lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
116 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
116 / 60 PA
Walk %13.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
116 / 120 PA
BABIP.233
lg avg .295 ▼−.062vs his norm −.067 ▼BABIP is below his ~.300 norm — expect it to rise.
77 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
116 / 50 PA
Chase %33.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
116 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.9%→10.0%signal3 HR — Barrel% 3.9% (signal) lifted to career ~12.3% → projected 10.0%.
BABIP 0.233→0.260 regressednoise.229 AVG — BABIP 0.233 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.235) → 0.260.
on-base + lineup14 R — his run rate over ~139 projected PA.
slugging + lineup11 RBI — his RBI rate over ~139 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (2 in 24 G) over ~139 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.