week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Michael Rucker
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.06); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Rucker is a hold — league average, nothing unstable driving it.
ROS projects K 3 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 0.50 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %26.3%—+3.4% ▲vs his ~22.9% career norm
- Walk %8.9%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~9.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.06)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.310
lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
179 / 200 TBF
xERA4.06
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.04vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
179 / 200 TBF
ERA5.79
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.69vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
42 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm +3.4% ▲
179 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
179 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.299
lg avg .295 ▲+.004vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
179 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —
179 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.2 mphvs his norm —
724 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 26.3%→24.5%signal0 K — K% 26.3% (signal) tempered to career ~22.9% → projected 24.5% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.06noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.06 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 2 IP.
BB% 8.9% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.30 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.