Is Nick Gonzales a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Nick Gonzales's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

556 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Nick Gonzales

PIT·3B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.327) — BABIP 0.362 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .289R 5RBI 5SB 1

Gonzales is a hold — league-average skill, BABIP will cool

His expected wOBA is .327, which is .012 above the league average of .315, and he has 556 plate appearances, well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .341, propped up by a .362 BABIP against a league average of .295. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 415, so some of that average is going to come back. The contact quality is not the reason for the line — his average exit velocity is 86.0 mph and his hard-hit rate is 33.7%, both below league. He makes up ground by striking out just 16.2% of the time, well below league, and that low strikeout rate is real at this sample. No collapse is coming and no leap is coming. Hold. Deep-league hold: 0 HR / 5 R / 5 RBI / 1 SB / .289 AVG offers a floor, not a ceiling — no action, just a streaming-only asset.

VS His Norm

Barrel %2.9%—−2.9% ▼vs his ~5.8% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.327)
babipNOISEBABIP 0.362 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.0 mphvs his norm —

415 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %33.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.3%vs his norm —

415 / 50 BBE

Barrel %2.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.1%vs his norm −2.9% ▼

415 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.327

lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —

556 / 160 PA

wOBA.341

lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —

556 / 200 PA

Strikeout %16.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —

556 / 60 PA

Walk %7.0%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —

556 / 120 PA

BABIP.362

lg avg .295 ▲+.067vs his norm +.054 ▲BABIP is above his ~.308 norm — expect it to fall.

415 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —

556 / 50 PA

Chase %31.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —

556 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 2.9%→3.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.9% (signal) lifted to career ~5.8% → projected 3.9%.

BABIP 0.362→0.351 regressednoise.289 AVG — BABIP 0.362 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.339 (xBA 0.283) → 0.351.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.

slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (3 in 54 G) over ~42 projected PA.

rosterdeep.289 AVG

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons