Is Nick Gonzales a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Nick Gonzales's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

608 PA · week 31

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Nick Gonzales

PIT·3B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.327) — BABIP 0.360 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Gonzales is a hold — league-average skill, with BABIP carrying the line

His expected wOBA is .327, just .012 above the league average of .315, and with 608 plate appearances the number is past the point where it becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .339, and the gap between them is his BABIP: .360 against a league average of .295. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 453, so that average will give some back. The contact underneath is modest — 86.4 mph average exit velocity, a 34% hard-hit rate, and 3.1% barrels, all below league — yet his expected wOBA keeps stepping up across the sample. The strikeout rate is a genuine asset; he fans just 16.3% of the time. A steady skill with one luck stat to give back. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is a drop-tier drag — streaming-only, no hold value here.

VS His Norm

Barrel %3.1%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~5.8% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.327)
babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.6 mphvs his norm —

453 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %34.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —

453 / 50 BBE

Barrel %3.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm −2.7% ▼

453 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.327

lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —

608 / 160 PA

wOBA.339

lg avg .315 ▲+.024vs his norm —

608 / 200 PA

Strikeout %16.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm —

608 / 60 PA

Walk %7.1%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —

608 / 120 PA

BABIP.360

lg avg .295 ▲+.065vs his norm +.052 ▲BABIP is above his ~.308 norm — expect it to fall.

453 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —

608 / 50 PA

Chase %31.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —

608 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 3.1%→3.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (signal) lifted to career ~5.8% → projected 3.9%.

BABIP 0.360→0.351 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.360 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.338 (xBA 0.282) → 0.351.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (3 in 54 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons