63 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Nick Madrigal
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.293); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Madrigal is a hold — contact is light, but nothing is unstable
ROS projects AVG .222 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.293)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.9 mphvs his norm —
52 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %26.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−13.1%vs his norm —
52 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−8.0%vs his norm −0.6% ▼Barrel % is below his ~0.6% norm — expect it to rise.
52 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.293
lg avg .315 ▼−.022vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
63 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
63 / 200 PA
Strikeout %4.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−17.2%vs his norm —
63 / 60 PA
Walk %11.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
63 / 120 PA
BABIP.288
lg avg .295 ▼−.007vs his norm +.013 ▲BABIP is above his ~.275 norm — expect it to fall.
52 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %3.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−7.2%vs his norm —
63 / 50 PA
Chase %30.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
63 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 0.0%→0.5%noise0 HR — Barrel% 0.0% (noise) lifted to career ~0.6% → projected 0.5%.
BABIP 0.288→0.266 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.288 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.264 (xBA 0.238) → 0.266.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 4 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.