week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Phil Maton
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (6.80); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 6ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Maton is a hold — league average, nothing unstable in play.
ROS projects K 22 YTD → 6 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.8%—−3.8% ▼vs his ~26.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.80)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed11.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
84 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.389
lg avg .315 ▲+.074vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
136 / 200 TBF
xERA6.80
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.70vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
136 / 200 TBF
ERA6.18
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.08vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
27.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm −3.8% ▼
136 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.8%vs his norm +2.6% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.2% norm — expect it to fall.
136 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.372
lg avg .295 ▲+.077vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
84 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
136 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
136 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo90.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−3.8 mphvs his norm —
546 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.8%→25.1%signal6 K — K% 22.8% (signal) lifted to career ~26.6% → projected 25.1% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 6.80noise3.70 ERA — xERA 6.80 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 19 IP.
BB% 11.8% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.303 gives a 1.53 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.