week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Raisel Iglesias
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.63); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 25ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 8–15
Iglesias is a hold — skill and results align near average.
ROS projects K 21 YTD → 25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %28.3%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~29.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.63)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.9%vs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
84 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.254
lg avg .315 ▼−.061vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
127 / 200 TBF
xERA2.63
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.47vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
127 / 200 TBF
ERA2.23
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.87vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
32.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.3%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
127 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm −1.3% ▼Walk % is below his ~6.8% norm — expect it to rise.
127 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.317
lg avg .295 ▲+.022vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
84 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —
127 / 60 TBF
Chase %39.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+11.0%vs his norm —
127 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.6 mphvs his norm —
491 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.3%→29.0%signal25 K — K% 28.3% (signal) lifted to career ~29.4% → projected 29.0% over ~20 remaining IP.
xERA 2.63noise3.70 ERA — xERA 2.63 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 18 IP.
BB% 5.5% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.297 gives a 1.14 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)8-15 SV — role: closer.
rosterstandard21 SV, 3.70 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.