week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
Randy Vásquez
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Sell stable xERA 7.07 +2.97 vs league with no luck excuse; move on.high 0.90 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 44ERA 6.03WHIP 1.40W 3–7SV 0
Vásquez is a sell — skills are below league with no luck excuse.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Walk %7.3%—−0.9% ▼vs his ~8.2% career norm
- Strikeout %16.3%—+0.8% ▲vs his ~15.5% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 7.07 +2.97 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed47.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.3%vs his norm —
279 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed12.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.9%vs his norm —
279 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.397
lg avg .315 ▲+.082vs his norm —
369 / 200 TBF
xERA7.07
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.97vs his norm —
369 / 200 TBF
ERA4.71
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.61vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
84 / 200 IP
Strikeout %16.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm +0.8% ▲
369 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm −0.9% ▼
369 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.322
lg avg .295 ▲+.027vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
279 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
369 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
369 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphvs his norm —
1431 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 16.3%→16.0%signal44 K — K% 16.3% (signal) tempered to career ~15.5% → projected 16.0% over ~57 remaining…
xERA 7.07signal6.03 ERA — xERA 7.07 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 60 IP.
BB% 7.3% + contactsignal1.40 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.304 gives a 1.46 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role3-7 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop44 K ROS, 6.03 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.