Is Randy Vásquez a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Randy Vásquez's rest-of-season outlook?

3.98 ERA hides a 5.57 xERA and 15% K rate

week 25

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Randy Vásquez

SD·P

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Sell stable xERA 5.57 +1.47 vs league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league, limits the ceiling; move on.high 0.90

ROSK 10ERA 5.06WHIP 1.35W 1–1SV 0

Vásquez is a sell — the skill is short and nothing is hiding it.

His expected ERA is 5.57, a run and a half above the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. Nothing unstable is propping up his ERA, so there is no correction coming that would help him. He strikes out just 15% of batters, well below the 22% league average, and that rate is stable and has been stepping down. His expected wOBA allowed is .358, above the .315 league mark. His walk rate is fine at 6.5%, but a pitcher who misses this few bats has to be nearly perfect everywhere else, and he is not. The xERA has been climbing. Sell. 10 K and a 5.06 ERA ROS make this a drop, not a hold — deep-league streaming-only at best.

VS His Norm

Walk %6.5%—−1.7% ▼vs his ~8.2% career norm
Strikeout %15.0%—−0.5% ▼vs his ~15.5% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.57 +1.47 vs league with no luck excuse
p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed44.4%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —

419 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed10.0%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —

419 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.358

lg avg .315 ▲+.043vs his norm —

540 / 200 TBF

xERA5.57

lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.47vs his norm —

540 / 200 TBF

ERA3.98

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.12vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.

129 / 200 IP

Strikeout %15.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.0%vs his norm −0.5% ▼

540 / 70 TBF

Walk %6.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm −1.7% ▼

540 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.285

lg avg .295 ▼−.010vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

419 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %9.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —

540 / 60 TBF

Chase %27.7%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

540 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo95.1 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —

2055 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 15.0%→15.1%signal10 K — K% 15.0% (signal) held to career ~15.5% → projected 15.1% over ~13 remaining IP.

xERA 5.57signal5.06 ERA — xERA 5.57 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 60 IP.

BB% 6.5% + contactsignal1.35 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.290 gives a 1.38 skill WHIP, blended 65…

run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdrop10 K ROS, 5.06 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons