
week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Randy Vásquez
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Vásquez is a sell — skill is below league with no luck story.
His expected ERA is 6.23 — more than two runs above the league average of 4.10 — and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. There is nothing unlucky about his line: his BABIP-against is not mentioned, but the xERA itself tells the story. His contact allowed is poor, with a hard-hit rate of 45.6% and a barrel rate of 13.2%, both well above league averages and stable at 182 batted ball events. He strikes out 18.9% of batters, below league, while walking 6.8%, slightly below league but not enough to offset the damage. His xERA has been stepping up across the sample, so the trend is not his friend.
Sell
high0.90
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.23 +2.13 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed45.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed13.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.383
lg avg .315 ▲+.068trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL249 / 200 TBF
xERA6.23
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.13trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL249 / 200 TBF
ERA3.28
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.82too early to trust
NOISE60.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL249 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL249 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.283
lg avg .295 ▼−.012too early to trust
NOISE182 / 800 BIP