MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Richie Palacios
356 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Richie Palacios

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.305); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .220R 5RBI 5SB 2

Palacios is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way.

His expected wOBA is .305, which is .010 below the league average of .315, and he has 356 plate appearances — well past the 160 needed for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .309, almost exactly the same, so no luck is propping the line up and none is dragging it down. The profile has a split: he does not chase much damage-wise, with a 27.7% hard-hit rate against a 40% league average, but he strikes out only 17.7% of the time and walks 11.2% — both better than league. The xwOBA has stepped down across the sample, which takes the shine off. No signal to buy here and none to sell. Hold. 5 R, 2 SB and a .220 AVG rest of the way is streaming-only filler; drop-tier depth means no add, just hold what you have.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.4%−0.3%vs his ~4.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.305)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.2 mph
86.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −2.8 mphvs his norm —
249 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %27.7%
27.7%*
lg avg 40.0% −12.3%vs his norm —
249 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.4%
norm4.4%*
lg avg 8.0% −3.6%vs his norm −0.3%
249 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.305
believable since Jun 15.305*
lg avg .315 −.010vs his norm —
356 / 160 PA
wOBA.309
.309*
lg avg .315 −.006vs his norm —
356 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.7%
17.7%*
lg avg 22.0% −4.3%vs his norm —
356 / 60 PA
Walk %11.2%
11.2%*
lg avg 8.5% +2.7%vs his norm —
356 / 120 PA
BABIP.256
norm.256*
lg avg .295 −.039vs his norm −.025 BABIP is below his ~.281 normexpect it to rise.
249 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.0%
10.0%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.0%vs his norm —
356 / 50 PA
Chase %32.4%
32.4%*
lg avg 28.5% +3.9%vs his norm —
356 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.4%→4.5%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.4% (signal) lifted to career ~4.7% → projected 4.5%.
BABIP 0.256→0.286 regressednoise.220 AVG — BABIP 0.256 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.299 (xBA 0.242) → 0.286.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~36 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~36 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (7 in 42 G) over ~36 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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