week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Riley Cornelio
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.95); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Cornelio is a hold — the profile is league average and stable.
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.95)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed45.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm —
91 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
91 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
160 / 200 TBF
xERA3.95
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.15vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
160 / 200 TBF
ERA3.68
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.42vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
36.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
160 / 70 TBF
Walk %18.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+10.1%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
160 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.273
lg avg .295 ▼−.022vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
91 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.2%vs his norm —
160 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
160 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.5 mphvs his norm —
685 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.0%→24.8%signal0 K — K% 25.0% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 24.8% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.95noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.95 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 4 IP.
BB% 18.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 18% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.74 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.