week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Riley Cornelio
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.95); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 3ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Cornelio is a hold — league average, no luck driving it.
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 3 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.95)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed48.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.5%vs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
68 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.307
lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
116 / 200 TBF
xERA3.95
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.15vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
116 / 200 TBF
ERA5.26
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.16vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
25.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
116 / 70 TBF
Walk %18.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+10.1%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
116 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.277
lg avg .295 ▼−.018vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
68 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.4%vs his norm —
116 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
116 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.5 mphvs his norm —
493 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.3%→23.4%signal3 K — K% 23.3% (signal) held to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 23.4% over ~6 remaining IP.
xERA 3.95noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.95 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 4 IP.
BB% 18.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 18% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.293 gives a 1.79 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.