Is Roman Anthony a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Roman Anthony's rest-of-season outlook?

46.6% hard-hit with 11.6% barrels props up .344 xwOBA.

240 PA · week 27

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Roman Anthony

BOS·LF

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27

Buy stable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.66

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Anthony is a buy — the contact is real, the average is not yet.

His expected wOBA is .344, .029 above the league average of .315, and he has 240 plate appearances — past the point where that number becomes reliable. The contact quality backs it up and is getting better: his hard-hit rate is 46.6% against a league average of 40.0%, his barrel rate is 11.6%, and both his hard-hit rate and his expected wOBA have stepped up across the sample. The one number to watch is his actual wOBA, .329, about 15 points below his expected mark — but the gap runs the wrong way for him: his BABIP is .333, 38 points above the league average of .295, and BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable. He has 146. The extra hits are propping up his average, not his skill. He strikes out 26.7% of the time and walks 12.1%, which is a real plate-discipline foundation. The bat is the buy; the batting average will come down. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %11.6%—−3.9% ▼vs his ~15.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo92.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.0 mphvs his norm —

146 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %46.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.6%vs his norm —

146 / 50 BBE

Barrel %11.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.6%vs his norm −3.9% ▼

146 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.344

lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —

240 / 160 PA

wOBA.329

lg avg .315 ▲+.014vs his norm —

240 / 200 PA

Strikeout %26.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —

240 / 60 PA

Walk %12.1%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —

240 / 120 PA

BABIP.333

lg avg .295 ▲+.038vs his norm −.071 ▼BABIP is below his ~.404 norm — expect it to rise.

146 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.2%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —

240 / 50 PA

Chase %23.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−5.2%vs his norm —

240 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 11.6%→13.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 11.6% (signal) lifted to career ~15.5% → projected 13.9%.

BABIP 0.333→0.341 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.333 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.343 (xBA 0.262) → 0.341.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 30 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons