73 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last week—
Romy Gonzalez
data as of September 30, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.289); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Gonzalez is a hold — league-average skill, swing-and-miss caps the floor.
ROS projects AVG .000 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.289)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.4 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
45 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
45 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm −6.9% ▼Barrel % is below his ~11.3% norm — expect it to rise.
45 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.289
lg avg .315 ▼−.026vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 160 PA
wOBA.258
lg avg .315 ▼−.057vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 200 PA
Strikeout %28.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.8%vs his norm —
73 / 60 PA
Walk %6.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 120 PA
BABIP.256
lg avg .295 ▼−.039vs his norm −.095 ▼BABIP is below his ~.351 norm — expect it to rise.
45 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
73 / 50 PA
Chase %32.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —
73 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.4%→10.1%noise0 HR — Barrel% 4.4% (noise) lifted to career ~11.3% → projected 10.1%.
BABIP 0.256→0.232 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.256 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.231 (xBA 0.231) → 0.232.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.