week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Ron Marinaccio
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.86); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 25WHIP 1.26ERA 3.82W 0–1SV 0
Marinaccio is a hold — league average across the board.
ROS projects K 25 YTD → 25 ROS, WHIP 1.26 YTD → 1.26 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %18.6%—−8.1% ▼vs his ~26.6% career norm
- Walk %9.0%—−2.3% ▼vs his ~11.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.86)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
141 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
141 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.339
lg avg .315 ▲+.024vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
199 / 200 TBF
xERA4.86
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.76vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
199 / 200 TBF
ERA4.89
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.79vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
46 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm −8.1% ▼
199 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm −2.3% ▼
199 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.303
lg avg .295 ▲+.008vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
141 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
199 / 60 TBF
Chase %26.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
199 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.2 mphvs his norm —
803 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.6%→22.6%signal25 K — K% 18.6% (signal) lifted to career ~26.6% → projected 22.6% over ~26 remaining IP.
xERA 4.86noise3.82 ERA — xERA 4.86 (noise) blended 10% skill / 90% league 3.70 at 31 IP.
BB% 9.0% + contactsignal1.26 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.45 skill WHIP, blended 10…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.82 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.