MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
63 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Ronny Simon

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
new call as of September 27, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.316); BABIP 0.319 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Simon is a hold — league average, and the sample is still short.

ROS projects AVG .000 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.316)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.319 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.6 mph
87.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.4 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
49 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %30.6%
30.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.4%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
49 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.1%
norm4.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm −2.1% ▼Barrel % is below his ~6.2% norm — expect it to rise.
49 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.316
.316*
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
63 / 160 PA
wOBA.311
.311*
lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
63 / 200 PA
Strikeout %15.9%
believable since Sep 2515.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.1%vs his norm —
63 / 60 PA
Walk %6.3%
6.3%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
63 / 120 PA
BABIP.319
norm.319*
lg avg .295 ▲+.024vs his norm +.038 ▲BABIP is above his ~.281 norm — expect it to fall.
49 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.6%
9.6%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
63 / 50 PA
Chase %40.9%
40.9%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.4%vs his norm —
63 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.1%→5.8%noise0 HR — Barrel% 4.1% (noise) lifted to career ~6.2% → projected 5.8%.
BABIP 0.319→0.277 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.319 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.274 (xBA 0.274) → 0.277.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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