week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Ryan Walker
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.34); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 38ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 4–8
Walker is a hold — limited data, league average, no edge.
ROS projects K 14 YTD → 38 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %19.2%—−8.4% ▼vs his ~27.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.34)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.4%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % Allowed is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
49 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
49 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
73 / 200 TBF
xERA4.34
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.24vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
73 / 200 TBF
ERA6.46
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.36vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
15.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %19.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.8%vs his norm −8.4% ▼
73 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.7%vs his norm +6.0% ▲Walk % is above his ~7.7% norm — expect it to fall.
73 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.378
lg avg .295 ▲+.083vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
49 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 19.2%→25.3%signal38 K — K% 19.2% (signal) lifted to career ~27.6% → projected 25.3% over ~31 remaining IP.
xERA 4.34noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.34 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 15 IP.
BB% 13.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 14% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.300 gives a 1.68 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)4-8 SV — role: closer.
rosterdeep9 SV, 3.70 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.