week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Ryan Weathers
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (4.29); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 15ERA 4.22WHIP 1.25W 0–1SV 0
Weathers is a hold — steady skill, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects K 75 YTD → 15 ROS, ERA 3.52 YTD → 4.22 ROS, WHIP 1.14 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %25.2%—+4.1% ▲vs his ~21.1% career norm
- Walk %6.7%—−1.3% ▼vs his ~8.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.29)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
384 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
384 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.319
lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —
568 / 200 TBF
xERA4.29
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.19vs his norm —
568 / 200 TBF
ERA3.60
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.50vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
137.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm +4.1% ▲
568 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm −1.3% ▼
568 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.307
lg avg .295 ▲+.012vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
384 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
568 / 60 TBF
Chase %28.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
568 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.8 mphvs his norm —
2281 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.2%→24.1%signal15 K — K% 25.2% (signal) tempered to career ~21.1% → projected 24.1% over ~13 remaining…
xERA 4.29signal4.22 ERA — xERA 4.29 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 64 IP.
BB% 6.7% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.301 gives a 1.25 skill WHIP.
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop15 K ROS, 4.22 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.