week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Ryne Stanek
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.04); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 29ERA 3.71WHIP 1.25W 0–1SV 0–2
Stanek is a hold — league average in a limited sample.
ROS projects K 30 YTD → 29 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %24.5%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~27.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.04)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —
100 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.0%
lg avg 8.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
100 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.312
lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
163 / 200 TBF
xERA4.04
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.06vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
163 / 200 TBF
ERA4.66
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.56vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
36.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm −2.7% ▼
163 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.9%vs his norm +0.8% ▲Walk % is above his ~12.1% norm — expect it to fall.
163 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.298
lg avg .295 ▲+.003vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
100 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
163 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
163 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo98.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+4.2 mphvs his norm —
676 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.5%→26.0%signal29 K — K% 24.5% (signal) lifted to career ~27.2% → projected 26.0% over ~21 remaining IP.
xERA 4.04noise3.71 ERA — xERA 4.04 (noise) blended 2% skill / 98% league 3.70 at 23 IP.
BB% 12.9% + contactnoise1.25 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.51 skill WHIP, blended 2…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-2 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.71 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.