MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Samuel Basallo
371 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Samuel Basallo

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.320); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 1AVG .203R 5RBI 6SB 0

Basallo is a hold — league average with a little more contact behind it.

His expected wOBA is .320, five points above the league average of .315, and he has 371 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The skill is roughly league average, which is the whole story. His contact quality is a touch above the pack: 90.2 mph average exit velocity, a 42.7% hard-hit rate, and a 12.6% barrel rate, all past the batted-ball sample that makes them trustworthy. There is no luck stat dragging or inflating the line. The concern is the strikeout rate, 26.4% against a league average of 22.0%, and his swinging-strike and chase rates run high, which will keep the batting average jumpy. His expected wOBA has stepped up across the sample, though, so the underlying bat is trending the right way. Nothing here is unstable enough to buy or sell. Hold. 1 HR / 5 R / 6 RBI / .203 AVG is deep-league counting only — hold, but a drop-tier catcher with no counting ceiling.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %12.6%+3.7%vs his ~8.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.320)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.2 mph
90.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.2 mphvs his norm —
239 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.7%
42.7%*
lg avg 40.0% +2.7%vs his norm —
239 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.6%
norm12.6%*
lg avg 8.0% +4.6%vs his norm +3.7%
239 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.320
believable since May 25.320*
lg avg .315 +.005vs his norm —
371 / 160 PA
wOBA.310
.310*
lg avg .315 −.005vs his norm —
371 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.4%
26.4%*
lg avg 22.0% +4.4%vs his norm —
371 / 60 PA
Walk %8.1%
8.1%*
lg avg 8.5% −0.4%vs his norm —
371 / 120 PA
BABIP.266
norm.266*
lg avg .295 −.029vs his norm +.036 BABIP is above his ~.230 normexpect it to fall.
239 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.6%
16.6%*
lg avg 11.0% +5.7%vs his norm —
371 / 50 PA
Chase %39.9%
39.9%*
lg avg 28.5% +11.4%vs his norm —
371 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 12.6%→10.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 12.6% (signal) tempered to career ~8.9% → projected 10.9%.
BABIP 0.266→0.260 regressednoise.203 AVG — BABIP 0.266 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.234) → 0.260.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~39 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~39 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 48 G) over ~39 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups