week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Trent Harris
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.41); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Harris is a hold — average on the surface, average underneath.
ROS projects K 3 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.41)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed25.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.0%vs his norm —
60 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed1.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.3%vs his norm —
60 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.241
lg avg .315 ▼−.074vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
94 / 200 TBF
xERA2.41
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.69vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
94 / 200 TBF
ERA2.31
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.79vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
23.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
94 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
94 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.322
lg avg .295 ▲+.027vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
60 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
94 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
94 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.1 mphvs his norm —
368 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.7%→27.8%signal0 K — K% 28.7% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 27.8% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 2.41noise3.70 ERA — xERA 2.41 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 2 IP.
BB% 7.4% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.297 gives a 1.21 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.