Is Tyler O'Neill a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Tyler O'Neill's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

260 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Tyler O'Neill

BAL·RF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

ON THE 10-DAY IL

Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.307); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60

ROSHR 1AVG .208R 4RBI 3SB 0

O'Neill is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable.

His expected wOBA is .307, .008 below the league average of .315, and he has 260 plate appearances — past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .302, essentially tracking the expected figure, so no luck stat is dragging the line up or down. The contact quality backs the same read: 89.4 mph average exit velocity, a 42.8% hard-hit rate, and 8.8% barrels, each a tick above league but nothing more. The one thing worth flagging is the strikeout rate, 27.7% against a league average of 22.0%, and a 15.0% swinging-strike rate — that is a real drag on his batting average. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, so the skill is not trending toward a buy. Hold. 1 HR / 4 R / 3 RBI / 0 SB / .208 AVG offers no counting edge, so O'Neill is waiver-wire fringe — streaming-only, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %8.8%—−6.8% ▼vs his ~15.6% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —

159 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %42.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —

159 / 50 BBE

Barrel %8.8%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm −6.8% ▼

159 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.307

lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —

260 / 160 PA

wOBA.302

lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —

260 / 200 PA

Strikeout %27.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.7%vs his norm —

260 / 60 PA

Walk %10.4%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —

260 / 120 PA

BABIP.262

lg avg .295 ▼−.033vs his norm −.015 ▼BABIP is below his ~.277 norm — expect it to rise.

159 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %15.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —

260 / 50 PA

Chase %27.9%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —

260 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 8.8%→12.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 8.8% (signal) lifted to career ~15.6% → projected 12.6%.

BABIP 0.262→0.263 regressednoise.208 AVG — BABIP 0.262 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.264 (xBA 0.214) → 0.263.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~35 projected PA.

slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~35 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 36 G) over ~35 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons