week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Wandy Peralta
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league, limits the ceiling — skill near league average (4.02); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 18WHIP 1.26ERA 3.72W 0–0SV 0
Peralta is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to push.
ROS projects K 19 YTD → 18 ROS, WHIP 1.44 YTD → 1.26 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %15.7%—−3.4% ▼vs his ~19.1% career norm
- Walk %9.6%—−0.7% ▼vs his ~10.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.02)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —
146 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.6%vs his norm —
146 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.311
lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
xERA4.02
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.08vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
ERA2.23
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.87vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
48.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %15.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.3%vs his norm −3.4% ▼
198 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm −0.7% ▼
198 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.280
lg avg .295 ▼−.015vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
146 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.4 mphvs his norm —
758 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 15.7%→17.4%signal18 K — K% 15.7% (signal) lifted to career ~19.1% → projected 17.4% over ~23 remaining IP.
xERA 4.02noise3.72 ERA — xERA 4.02 (noise) blended 6% skill / 94% league 3.70 at 26 IP.
BB% 9.6% + contactsignal1.26 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.52 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.72 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.