MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Wandy Peralta
week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Wandy Peralta

SD·P
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (4.32); strikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league, limits the ceiling; a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSK 0ERA 4.10WHIP 1.37W 0–0SV 0

Peralta is a hold — average skill, no luck, limited ceiling.

His expected ERA is 4.32, a hair above the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. Nothing in his profile is being propped up or dragged down by luck. His expected wOBA allowed is .319, basically level with league, and his walk rate of 7.2% is right around average. The real drag is his strikeout rate: 15.6%, well below the 22% league mark and below his own 19.1% career baseline. He is also trending the wrong way, with his strikeout rate stepping down and xERA stepping up across the sample. The higher fastball velocity and below-average hard-hit and barrel rates allowed keep him viable, but the low strikeout rate caps the upside. Nothing here is unstable enough to buy or sell. Hold. 0 K and 0 SV to go with a 4.10 ERA and 1.37 WHIP — drop-tier fringe, droppable in shallow leagues.

VS His Norm

  • Strikeout %15.6%—−3.5% ▼vs his ~19.1% career norm
  • Walk %7.2%—−3.1% ▼vs his ~10.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.32)
  • p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed35.9%
35.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
245 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.5%
4.5%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —
245 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.319
believable since Jul 20.319*
lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —
321 / 200 TBF
xERA4.32
4.32*
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.22vs his norm —
321 / 200 TBF
ERA3.61
3.61*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.49vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
77.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %15.6%
norm15.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.4%vs his norm −3.5% ▼
321 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.2%
norm7.2%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm −3.1% ▼
321 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.305
.305*
lg avg .295 ▲+.010vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
245 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.4%
11.4%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
321 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.2%
33.2%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
321 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.4 mph
96.4 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.4 mphvs his norm —
1224 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 15.6%→16.9%signal0 K — K% 15.6% (signal) lifted to career ~19.1% → projected 16.9% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.32signal4.10 ERA — xERA 4.32 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 26 IP.
BB% 7.2% + contactsignal1.37 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.44 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop4.10 ERA, 1.37 WHIP

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups