204 PA · week 17
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekHOLD
Wyatt Langford
data as of July 21, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 21, 2026
Sell High luck-free skill 0.316 is 0.044 below the surface, regression coming — BABIP 0.321 far above league and nowhere near stable, inflating the line; sell into the hype before regression.high 0.76 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .257R 18RBI 7SB 5
Langford is a sell-high — BABIP is inflating the line.
Surface line inflated by an unsustainable BABIP; the stable skill is lower. Sell high.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %8.2%—−3.3% ▼vs his ~11.5% career norm
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.321 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.316 is 0.044 below the surface — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph 0.0 mphvs his norm —
147 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
147 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm −3.3% ▼
147 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —
204 / 160 PA
wOBA.360
lg avg .315 ▲+.045vs his norm —
204 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
204 / 60 PA
Walk %5.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
204 / 120 PA
BABIP.321
lg avg .295 ▲+.026vs his norm +.023 ▲BABIP is above his ~.298 norm — expect it to fall.
147 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
204 / 50 PA
Chase %27.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
204 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.2%→10.1%signal4 HR — Barrel% 8.2% (signal) lifted to career ~11.5% → projected 10.1%.
BABIP 0.321→0.312 regressednoise.257 AVG — BABIP 0.321 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.310 (xBA 0.248) → 0.312.
on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~158 projected PA.
slugging + lineup7 RBI — his RBI rate over ~158 projected PA.
run rate / role5 SB — his steal rate (3 in 21 G) over ~158 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.