Rest of Season Projection
A.J.CategoryDerek
6HR →7
28R →29
21RBI ←20
14SB →20
.236AVG ←.208
Current Season
A.J.CategoryDerek
1HR →3
8R →9
6RBI6
4SB →6
.224AVG →.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
A.J. Ewing
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.321)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ewing: 6 HR / .236 AVG vs Hill: 7 HR / .208 AVG. Hill holds a narrow HR lead, but Ewing's 28-point AVG edge creates more category flexibility. Both are holds; AVG separates them in ratio formats.