Rest of Season Projection
A.J.CategorySal
6HR ←3
28R →39
21RBI →32
14SB ←7
.236AVG ←.228
Current Season
A.J.CategorySal
1HR →3
8R →23
6RBI →19
4SB4
.224AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
A.J. Ewing
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.321)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Sal Frelick
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.278 below league with no luck excuse
A.J. Ewing projects for 6 HR / 14 SB vs Sal Frelick's 3 HR / 7 SB — the power and speed gap favors Ewing. Frelick's .228 AVG holds no edge; the sell verdict reflects the skill gap.