MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aaron Ashby wins 2 (K, ERA); Chris Murphy wins 2 (WHIP, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Chris Murphy
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
12.8%
Chris Murphy
15.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
31.2%
Chris Murphy
22.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
29.5%
Chris Murphy
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
40.7%
Chris Murphy
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
4.5%
Chris Murphy
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.263
Chris Murphy
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
2.85
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
.9002.55
now 1.28
1.31
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4070.20
now 51
8
Chris Murphy
4070.20
now 6
3
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.60
now 9
12
Chris Murphy
.00012.60
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.0002.40
now 0
0
Chris Murphy
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Ashby — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
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