MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYY · RF
Change to
Matt Wallner
MIN · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Aaron Judge wins 0 (none); Matt Wallner wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.0
Matt Wallner
88.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.5%
Matt Wallner
40.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
20.9%
Matt Wallner
10.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
26.4%
Matt Wallner
31.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
14.2%
Matt Wallner
22.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.396
Matt Wallner
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.200.350
lg AVG .295
now .248
.000
Matt Wallner
.200.350
lg AVG .295
now .167
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
523.80
now 17
0
Matt Wallner
523.80
now 4
0
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2060.20
now 43
0
Matt Wallner
2060.20
now 14
0
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2053.20
now 38
0
Matt Wallner
2053.20
now 10
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
.0007
now 5
0
Matt Wallner
.0007
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.76
Hold · wait & seeMatt Wallner — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet